Goto

Collaborating Authors

 belief system


Toward a Graph-Theoretic Model of Belief: Confidence, Credibility, and Structural Coherence

Nikooroo, Saleh

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal coherence, and preclude the modeling of fragmented or contradictory epistemic states. This paper introduces a minimal formalism for belief systems as directed, weighted graphs. In this framework, nodes represent individual beliefs, edges encode epistemic relationships (e.g., support or contradiction), and two distinct functions assign each belief a credibility (reflecting source trust) and a confidence (derived from internal structural support). Unlike classical probabilistic models, our approach does not assume prior coherence or require belief updating. Unlike logical and argumentation-based frameworks, it supports fine-grained structural representation without committing to binary justification status or deductive closure. The model is purely static and deliberately excludes inference or revision procedures. Its aim is to provide a foundational substrate for analyzing the internal organization of belief systems, including coherence conditions, epistemic tensions, and representational limits. By distinguishing belief structure from belief strength, this formalism enables a richer classification of epistemic states than existing probabilistic, logical, or argumentation-based approaches.


Ontology of Belief Diversity: A Community-Based Epistemological Approach

Fischella, Tyler, van Liemt, Erin, Qiuyi, null, Zhang, null

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI applications across classification, fairness, and human interaction often implicitly require ontologies of social concepts. Constructing these well, especially when there are many relevant categories, is a controversial task but is crucial for achieving meaningful inclusivity. Here, we focus on developing a pragmatic ontology of belief systems, which is a complex and often controversial space. By iterating on our community-based design until mutual agreement is reached, we found that epistemological methods were best for categorizing the fundamental ways beliefs differ, maximally respecting our principles of inclusivity and brevity. We demonstrate our methodology's utility and interpretability via user studies in term annotation and sentiment analysis experiments for belief fairness in language models.


Multi-topic belief formation through bifurcations over signed social networks

Bizyaeva, Anastasia, Franci, Alessio, Leonard, Naomi Ehrich

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose and analyze a nonlinear dynamic model of continuous-time multi-dimensional belief formation over signed social networks. Our model accounts for the effects of a structured belief system, self-appraisal, internal biases, and various sources of cognitive dissonance posited by recent theories in social psychology. We prove that strong beliefs emerge on the network as a consequence of a bifurcation. We analyze how the balance of social network effects in the model controls the nature of the bifurcation and, therefore, the belief-forming limit-set solutions. Our analysis provides constructive conditions on how multi-stable network belief equilibria and belief oscillations emerging at a belief-forming bifurcation depend on the communication network graph and belief system network graph. Our model and analysis provide new theoretical insights on the dynamics of social systems and a new principled framework for designing decentralized decision-making on engineered networks in the presence of structured relationships among alternatives.


Improving International Climate Policy via Mutually Conditional Binding Commitments

Heitzig, Jobst, Oechssler, Jörg, Pröschel, Christoph, Ragavan, Niranjana, Lo, Richie YatLong

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes enhancements to the RICE-N simulation and multi-agent reinforcement learning framework to improve the realism of international climate policy negotiations. Acknowledging the framework's value, we highlight the necessity of significant enhancements to address the diverse array of factors in modeling climate negotiations. Building upon our previous work on the "Conditional Commitments Mechanism" (CCF mechanism) we discuss ways to bridge the gap between simulation and reality. We suggest the inclusion of a recommender or planner agent to enhance coordination, address the Real2Sim gap by incorporating social factors and non-party stakeholder sub-agents, and propose enhancements to the underlying Reinforcement Learning solution algorithm. These proposed improvements aim to advance the evaluation and formulation of negotiation protocols for more effective international climate policy decision-making in Rice-N. However, further experimentation and testing are required to determine the implications and effectiveness of these suggestions.


An Approach to Stochastic Dynamic Games with Asymmetric Information and Hidden Actions

Ouyang, Yi, Tavafoghi, Hamidreza, Teneketzis, Demosthenis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study, in discrete time, a general class of sequential stochastic dynamic games with asymmetric information. We consider a setting where the underlying system has Markovian dynamics controlled by the agents' joint actions. Each agent's instantaneous utility depends on the agents' joint actions and the system state. At each time instant each agent makes a private noisy observation that depends on the current system state and the agents' actions in the previous time instant. In addition, at each time instant all agents may have a common noisy observation of the system state and their actions in the previous time instant. The agents' actions are hidden, that is, each agent's actions are not directly observable by the other agents. Therefore, at every time instant agents have asymmetric and imperfect information about the game's history. Dynamic games with the above features arise in engineering (cybersecurity, transportation, energy markets), in economics (industrial organization), and in socio-technological applications. As pointed out in Tang et al (2022), the key challenges in the study of dynamic games with asymmetric information are: (i) The domain of agents' strategies increases with time, as the agents acquire information over time.


AI-driven biometry and the infrastructures of everyday life

#artificialintelligence

Over the past years, we have become witness to the exponentially growing proliferation of biometric technologies: facial recognition technology and fingerprint scanners in our phones, sleep-pattern detection technology on our wrists or speech-recognition software that facilitates auto-dictation such as captioning. What all these technologies do is measure and record some aspect of the human body or its function: facial recognition technology measures facial features, fingerprint scanners measure the distance between the ridges that make up a unique fingerprint, sleep-pattern detection measures movement in our sleep as a proxy for wakefulness, and so on. AI is fundamentally a scaling technology. It is walking in the footsteps of many other technologies that have deployed classification and categorisation in the name of making bureaucratic processes more efficient, from ancient library systems to punch cards, to modern computer-vision technologies that'know' the difference between a house, a road, a vehicle and a human. The basic idea of these scaling technologies is to minimise situations in which individual judgement is required (see also Lorraine Daston's seminal work on rules).


Modern data management, the hidden brain of AI

MIT Technology Review

Artificial intelligence (AI) is the darling of businesses and governments because it not only promises to add tens of trillions to the gross domestic product (GDP), but it comes with all the excitement of action-packed movies or dopamine-drenched gaming. We are mesmerized by computer vision, natural language processing, and the uncanny predictions of recommendation engines.…


Learning what they think vs. learning what they do: The micro-foundations of vicarious learning

Park, Sanghyun, Puranam, Phanish

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vicarious learning is a vital component of organizational learning. We theorize and model two fundamental processes underlying vicarious learning: observation of actions (learning what they do) vs. belief sharing (learning what they think). The analysis of our model points to three key insights. First, vicarious learning through either process is beneficial even when no agent in a system of vicarious learners begins with a knowledge advantage. Second, vicarious learning through belief sharing is not universally better than mutual observation of actions and outcomes. Specifically, enabling mutual observability of actions and outcomes is superior to sharing of beliefs when the task environment features few alternatives with large differences in their value and there are no time pressures. Third, symmetry in vicarious learning in fact adversely affects belief sharing but improves observational learning. All three results are shown to be the consequence of how vicarious learning affects self-confirming biased beliefs.


The Explainability Dilemma

#artificialintelligence

I have a problem when I see the word healthcare next to industry. It seems like we're talking about a basic human right next to a word that means a sellable product. This industry relies heavily on human intervention and subjective opinions. It uses advanced technologies like genome decoding, MRIs, PET scans, and radiotherapy., But it also strongly depends on human interpretations, and humans make mistakes.


Startup launches world's first genderless AI to fight bias in smart assistants

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Talk to Apple's Siri or Amazon's Alexa and you'll notice a common trait: They both have female voices. While this can help make robotic assistants more relatable and natural to converse with, it has assigned a gender to a technology that's otherwise genderless. Now, researchers are hoping to offer a new alternative by launching what they're calling the world's first'genderless voice.' To create'Q', researchers recorded voices from participants who identify as non-binary, or neither exclusively female nor male. Researchers then tested the voice on 4,600 people across Europe.